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EPL prediction 28/09/2019

Manchester United look to return to winning ways on Monday at Old Trafford, but will they find a way past visitors Arsenal?
“Goals are the problem for United,” said BBC football expert Mark Lawrenson. “Who is going to get them?

“United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has got a problem because if he goes for it more in attack, then his side are going to leave themselves a lot more open.
“I think United might actually be a little cagey, because the last thing he needs is for Arsenal to beat them comfortably.”
Lawro is making predictions for all 380 top-flight matches this season, against a variety of guests.
This week he is up against cycling star Geraint Thomas.

Geraint Thomas
When Geraint Thomas won the Tour de France in 2018, former Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger was among those to phone him with congratulations

The double Olympic gold medallist and 2018 Tour de France winner is an Arsenal fan.
He is taking part in the men’s elite road race at the Road World Championships in Yorkshire on Sunday.

Premier League predictions – week seven
ResultLawroGeraint
SATURDAY
Sheff Utd v Liverpoolx-x0-21-3
Aston Villa v Burnleyx-x2-11-1
Bournemouth v West Hamx-x2-12-1
Chelsea v Brightonx-x2-02-0
Crystal Palace v Norwichx-x2-11-1
Tottenham v Southamptonx-x3-00-3
Wolves v Watfordx-x2-02-1
Everton v Man Cityx-x0-20-2
SUNDAY
Leicester v Newcastlex-x2-02-1
MONDAY
Man Utd v Arsenalx-x1-11-2

A correct result (picking a win, draw or defeat) is worth 10 points. The exact score earns 40 points.

LAWRO’S PREDICTIONS

All kick-offs 15:00 BST unless stated.

SATURDAY

Sheff Utd v Liverpool

Sheff Utd v Liverpool (12:30 BST)

It’s funny how the fixtures work out, with Sheffield United playing both Merseyside clubs within a week.
The Blades got a great win over Everton at Goodison Park last time out, but it is asking a lot for them to beat Liverpool too.

Everton 0-2 Sheffield United: Chris Wilder delighted after ‘ridiculous game’

I like Chris Wilder’s team a lot, but I don’t really see them causing the Reds many problems – apart from at set-pieces – or keeping them quiet at the other end.
Liverpool are on a roll at the moment, and they just keep on winning. Yes they rode their luck a bit defensively last weekend against Chelsea, but they also took their chances when they got them.
Lawro’s prediction: 0-2
Geraint’s prediction: 1-3

Aston Villa v Burnley

Aston Villa v Burnley

Aston Villa are probably still working out how they lost to Arsenal’s 10 men last weekend. They were ahead, but they did not know how to handle the situation.
Burnley, in contrast, disposed of Norwich with no fuss whatsoever.

Burnley 2-0 Norwich: Sean Dyche hails Clarets’ high press

This is a tough one for Villa, because they need some points after only winning one of their first six games. They are not doing badly, but just look a little short of confidence to me.
It is hard to back against Burnley, because of what they are, and how they do it, but I think Dean Smith’s side will edge it somehow.
Lawro’s prediction: 2-1
Geraint’s prediction: 1-1

Bournemouth v West Ham

Bournemouth v West Ham

Both of these teams lost to lower-division opponents in the Carabao Cup in midweek but that is what happens when you mess around with your team and make a lot of changes.
For a better indication of their form, look at how they did in the Premier League last weekend. Both teams managed impressive victories, with the Cherries getting a really good win at Southampton and West Ham seeing off Manchester United.

West Ham 2-0 Man Utd: Hammers becoming ‘more consistent’ – Manuel Pellegrini

The Hammers have not won this fixture since the 2015-16 season, so how they do at Bournemouth will be a good indication of their progress.
But Eddie Howe’s side are playing well and have got home advantage, so I am backing them to come out on top, just.
Lawro’s prediction: 2-1
Geraint’s prediction: 2-1

Chelsea v Brighton

Chelsea v Brighton

Brighton did well in their 0-0 draw at Newcastle last time out and Chelsea hardly played badly either despite being beaten by Liverpool.
So much happened in that game at Stamford Bridge, it could easily have ended up 2-2.

Chelsea 1-2 Liverpool: Blues deserved a point – Frank Lampard

Chelsea do have a weakness at the back but I don’t think they have a massive issue there – it is more every lapse is being punished – and I think Frank Lampard will finally be able to celebrate his first home league win as Blues boss on Saturday.
Brighton will try to play rather than park the bus and they deserve plaudits for that, but it will help Chelsea – just like it helped Manchester City last month.
Lawro’s prediction: 2-0
Geraint’s prediction: 2-0

Crystal Palace v Norwich

Crystal Palace v Norwich

Crystal Palace had been in total control last weekend but were left to rue a massive mistake by Joel Ward that handed Wolves a last-gasp equaliser.
Norwich, meanwhile, were out-played by Burnley and I see this as being a very similar test for the Canaries because Palace boss Roy Hodgson has a similar, forensic, approach to Clarets manager Sean Dyche.
Goals are the big problem for Palace – they are the joint-lowest scorers in the top-flight with four from six matches.
But apart from Watford, who conceded eight at Manchester City last week, Norwich have conceded more than every other team – so I think Hodgson’s side will get some chances this time.
Lawro’s prediction: 2-1
Geraint’s prediction: 1-1

Tottenham v Southampton

Tottenham v Southampton

I think Tottenham will be back with a bang this week, because they are a long way off being in crisis.

Snapshot showing 7th to 12th place in the Premier League: 7th Tottenham, 8th Man Utd, 9th Burnley, 10th Sheff Utd, 11th Chelsea, 12th Crystal Palace
Tottenham, Manchester United, Burnley, Sheffield United, Chelsea and Crystal Palace all have identical league records this season, with two wins, two draws and two defeats from six games

Mauricio Pochettinho did look somewhat disillusioned after last weekend’s defeat by Leicester, and it does appear something is going on behind the scenes.
But that doesn’t stop the players from performing and they should be too strong for Southampton. A comfortable win would go a long way to solving Spurs’ problems.
Lawro’s prediction: 3-0
Geraint’s prediction: 0-3

Wolves v Watford

Wolves v Watford

Watford were lucky to get away with just an 8-0 defeat at Manchester City last weekend, so they have got to recover from that.
This is a great fixture for Wolves. They are also in the bottom two and without a win, but at least they got some encouragement from the way they nicked a point against Crystal Palace last time out, and I would back them to get all three here.
Lawro’s prediction: 2-0
Geraint’s prediction: 2-1

Everton v Man City

Everton v Man City (17:30 BST)

It is fair to say that the natives will be restless after seeing Everton beaten at Goodison Park by Sheffield United last week, and Manchester City will obviously offer an even tougher test.
That could help them, because they will raise their game against City – but if they end up losing heavily, then Toffees boss Marco Silva is going to get some grief.

Everton did not deserve this result – Silva

Silva’s problem is that his side are neat and tidy and play some decent stuff on their day, but they do not seem able to put teams away.
I look at Everton and wonder exactly what they are trying to do, and I think most of their supporters feel the same way.
I can only see a City win here; they are just too good.
Yes, Dominic Calvert-Lewin might cause them a few problems in the air and, defensively, they are going to be under more pressure than they were against Watford last week – but they should still be able to cope.
Lawro’s prediction: 0-2
Geraint’s prediction: 0-2

SUNDAY

Leicester v Newcastle

Leicester v Newcastle (16:30 BST)

Leicester’s big test comes next week when they go to Anfield, but they cannot take anything for granted here.
They will have to work hard to break Newcastle down, and scoring the first goal will be important.

Snapshot showing the top of the Premier League: 1st Liverpool, 2nd Man City, 3rd Leicester, 4th Arsenal, 5th West Ham and 6th Bournemouth
Liverpool are the only unbeaten team in the top-flight this season. Leicester have lost once, like Manchester City, Arsenal, West Ham and Bournemouth.

The Magpies are well organised and their best result so far this season came on the road, with their win at Spurs.
I am not expecting Steve Bruce’s side to end up a relegation scrap but their form at St James’ Park does need to improve.
Lawro’s prediction: 2-0
Geraint’s prediction: 2-1

MONDAY

Man Utd v Arsenal

Man Utd v Arsenal (20:00 BST)

The Gunners are turning into the comeback kings, although I am sure they would prefer not to be in a situation where they need a fightback in the first place.
Unlike United, Arsenal do not look short of goals, but it is at the back where Unai Emery’s side still have problems.
Lawro’s prediction: 1-1
Geraint’s prediction: 1-2
Lawro was speaking to BBC Sport’s Chris Bevan

How did Lawro do last week?

From the last set of Premier League fixtures, Lawro got five correct results, including one exact score, out of 10 matches for a total of 80 points.

He beat former Wales rugby captain Sam Warburton, who also got five correct results, but with no exact scores, for a total of 50 points.

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